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NFL Odds: Bet on one of these 10 players to win the NFL MVP

To Jason McIntyre
FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Soccer is officially back, baby! When it comes to gambling, the NFL MVP is one of the most fun future bets he has.

If you don’t mind having some of your bankroll tied up for a while, we can help you dig into the numbers. He should be able to narrow down who he wants to spend his money on based on one factor, the quarterback position.

The last nine MVPs have been quarterbacks, and in the past 15 years, the signal-caller has been named the league’s Most Valuable Player 14 times.

Some of those players started out as long shots to win awards, but they are usually an anomaly. After suggesting he would make a number of rush attempts, he was bet on 50 wins 1 before the season started. Similarly, Patrick Mahomes (2018) opened at +3300. This is because he entered the season with his only regular start to the season.

When it comes to this upcoming season, Trey Lance, Zach Wilson, and Trevor Lawrence are all young and talented quarterbacks to watch, and they have long-shot odds. Ask yourself one key question: Will the 49ers, Jets, or Jaguars end the year as top playoff seeds? there is no.

But there are only a handful of quarterbacks I really think conduct Jump into my picks for a chance to win MVP at the end of the season. As usual, all odds are via FOX Bet.

1. Justin Herbert: +1000 on FOX bets (bet $10 and win a total of $110)

Herbert’s hype has gotten a little out of hand, so we wonder if the 24-year-old can handle all the attention. But he was one of the six best quarterbacks in the NFL last season and threw for 5,014 yards and 38 touchdowns using advanced metrics. And with rookie Zion Johnson joining his OL bolstering the unit’s weakest group, the Chargers’ offense should be lethal again. Justin was able to pull off last season’s accomplishments as easily as Sunday morning.

However, this bet is not without risk. This is still football’s toughest division. There are scenarios where he could finish 10-7 in a Chargers-loaded AFC but still miss the playoffs, and as mentioned, MVPs usually belong to the team with the top seed in the postseason.

2. Josh Allen: +700 on FOX bets (bet $10 and get $80 total)

The Bills are Super Bowl favorites, and Allen has arguably the best skill position group in the AFC at his disposal. After adding Dalvin’s brother James Cook in the NFL Draft, they’re a running back third. After scoring a touchdown performance and losing to the Chiefs in the playoffs, he looks poised to take on the breakout role.

After a few trips last November, Allen completed 77% of his passes, had nine touchdowns and no interceptions in two playoff games. The only question about the former Wyoming star is that Ken, who has been his QB coach for Buffalo for the past three seasons, has been replaced by Dorsey. It’s about adapting.

3. Russell Wilson: +1700 on FOX bet (bet $10 and win total $180)

Is it hard to believe that Russell Wilson has never received an MVP vote or is the most popular MVP bet ever? Wilson has an improved offensive line and a healthy Denver receiving core. It’s set up for a year of monsters with.

If you look closely you can find some stats pointing to the Broncos Defense is… overrated. In that case, Wilson will need his usual late-game heroics to emerge victorious, and he has plenty of chances to impress voters in his five games in prime time.

Four. Kirk Cousins: +5000 on FOX bets (bet $10 and get a total of $510)

Cousins ​​is one of the most divisive QBs in the league, but he was in the top 10 QBs last season. Cousins ​​also has the best young receiver in the league in Justin Jefferson. But best of all, he has a new offensively-minded head coach. Kevin O’Connell is from Sean McVay’s coaching tree and McVay’s protégé, he saw what Zac Taylor did to Joe Burrow.

Cousins’ final six opponents are the Jets, Lions, Colts, Giants, Packers and Bears. Cousins ​​should torch everyone except the Packers.

Side note: There’s no way Aaron Rodgers won MVP three years in a row. Especially since the Green Bay defense is showing all signs this year.

Five. Tom Brady: +850 on FOX Bet (bet $10 and win total $860)

Tom Brady will soon turn 45, which is huge for an NFL quarterback. But as we all learned, never count TB12. Brady will be without wide receiver Chris Godwin for at least two months, so the addition of Julio Jones is a great pickup. But the biggest reason Brady is so high is because NFC South is a joke.

The Bucs will again have at least 11 wins and possibly even the #1 seed in the NFC. Brady is his MVP in 2017, and if he wins his fourth, he will match Aaron Rodgers and most of the time Payton only trails his Manning.

6. Patrick Mahomes: +800 on FOX bets (bet $10 and get $90 total)

Mahomes lost the most reliable receiver at Tyreek Hill, but only second to Allen in prize odds?

He was about to end his worst season in the NFL, with the lowest QB rating of his career that season. Mahomes also led the league in turnovers and yards per attempt. Last year, at times, teams seemed to find him out with his two-high safeties his defense.

But with that said, look for Mahomes to put out big regular season stats.

7. lamar jackson: +2200 on FOX bets (bet $10 and get a total of $230)

He already has one MVP and is currently playing for one of the highest-paid QB deals in league history. If you’re the type who likes to bet on players who bet on themselves, then Lamar Jackson is for you.

The pass catcher remains an issue. Second-year wide receiver Rashod Bateman is a front-runner after the Hollywood Brown trade, but Jackson has dealt with this throughout his tenure in Baltimore. There’s also some trepidation about how another year for OC Greg Roman and Jackson will fare, as Roman hasn’t historically made the necessary adjustments.

Remember, it took three seasons with Roman and Colin Kaepernick in San Francisco for the defense to work out the reading options.

8. Matthew Stafford: +1600 on FOX bet (bet $10 and win total $170)

Stafford had a career-best season in his first season in L.A. In the playoffs, he led the Rams to their third straight one-score victory, throwing nine TDs and just three interceptions. , he struggled in the regular season, leading the NFL with 17 interceptions, including seven in the final three games.

Offense-wise, there’s good news and bad news for Stafford this season. The good news is that he’s been a healthy running back with Cam Akers, and the Rams traded Odell Beckham to Allen Robinson at receiver. The downside is that his line offensively lost his leader to the best player and locker in his room in the name of Andrew Whitworth.

9. joe barrow: +1300 on FOX bet (bet $10 and win total $140)

Joe Cool led the Bengals to the Super Bowl in one of the best second seasons in NFL history, completing 70% of his passes. But he was also sacked a league-high 51 times, so Cincinnati wisely upgraded their offensive line in the offseason.

Why aren’t Burrows, with all their weapons back, higher on the list? Well, the Bengals have the toughest schedule in the league. They bid farewell to his two road games and host the Chiefs and Browns. Then they’re back on the road for the Bucks and Patriots, closing out with the Bills and Ravens.

If Burrow manages to get six wins somehow, he has a very good chance of winning MVP. 500 in those games is more realistic and doesn’t lend itself to his MVP case.

Ten. Aaron Jones: +12500 FOX bets (bet $10 and win a total of $1,260)

The top 17 players with the highest chances of winning MVP are all QBs. But if you want to take a long shot other than quarterback to win the award, consider Green Bay’s Aaron Jones.

With Davante Adams gone and the Packers’ passing group less impressive, Jones could have a LaDainian Tomlinson-like season with over 2,300 yards from scrimmage and at least 20 touchdowns. I have.

AJ Dillon scores some, but the bets are tripled here. The Packers offensive his line is considered a top-five unit, and he enters 2022 in much healthier shape than he did last year. Jones should easily surpass his 2021 receptions (52-391-6), and his defensive schedule is just short of the expected top-10 ranked units. There are only 3 games of.

Jason McIntyre is a betting analyst for FOX Sports and also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. In his 2016 he joined FS1 and has appeared in every show on the network. In 2017, McIntyre began producing his gambling content about the NFL, college football, and NBA for FOX Sports. He had his podcast “Coming Up Winners” in 2018 and in 2019 he gambled on FOX.

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